Why People Run Away From the Stock Market ft. Sankaran Naren

Original: Why People Run Away From Stock Market 🏃‍♂️ | Ft.Sankaran Naren

19.4K views · Jul 14, 2022 · 5:04 min · Watch on YouTube ↗

Takeaway

Survive the first equity cycle by being extra cautious, avoid the herd, and the simplest cycle indicator is to enter sectors where 'no one is making money'.

Summary

ICICI Prudential's Sankaran Naren: best money in equity is made in your third cycle, not the first — in cycle 1 be cautious like 6th-8th standard student, cycle 2 still careful, cycle 3 you can take risks
Three lost generations of Indian investors: those who joined 1992-94 (Harshad Mehta scam), 1999-2000 (dot-com), 2007 (GFC) — each blamed and abandoned equities after first-cycle losses
Avoid the herd: in 1989 the IPO booms went granite → aquaculture → NBFCs → construction → real estate → IT — each time getting badly hurt to follow
Counter-intuitive cycle indicator: look at where no one is making money (e.g., metals and telecom 'last year') — those are safe to enter; if everyone is making money, be very scared
2013-14 example: cited Hyderabad as the best real estate market and warned others off; cycles are intuitive — you don't need balance-sheet expertise, just notice where excess money is being made

Sankaran Nareninvesting cyclesherd mentality

Original description

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