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What to do in present market condition? Why don't Monopoly Stocks give Multi Bagger Returns?
Original: Present Market Condition లో ఏం చెయ్యాలి? Monopoly Stocks Multi Bagger💰 Return ఎందుకు ఇవ్వవు?
Takeaway
Markets have already corrected significantly from the October peak; entering now with a 3+ year horizon offers reasonable risk-reward based on price-to-book valuation.
Summary
- Interview with fund manager Sumit who delivered 36% CAGR over 3 years on mid/small caps.
- Equity returns are extremely concentrated — missing the best 1% of trading days over 40 years would yield zero returns.
- Historical examples: 1992-2003 and 2008-2014 saw zero Sensex returns; bull runs in 2003-07 and 2014-17 made 6-13x returns.
- Price-to-book is more reliable than P/E; market peaks at 6-10x P/B, attractive entry below 2x; current ~3x is reasonable, not extreme.
- Nifty already down 15-16%, mid-caps 22%, small-caps ~30% from Oct peak — likely much of correction is done; high probability of decent returns in 2-3 years for new entrants.
market outlookvaluationfund manager interview
Original description
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